I’m a speaker, consultant, author, toolmaker, and strategy professor at UCL.

I’ve spent over a decade researching the difference between risk and uncertainty — I’ve now broadened my scope to explore the wider range of types of not-knowing that we face.

My speaking, consulting, and writing are all aimed at helping leaders and their organizations understand uncertainty and design themselves to flourish in it.

I’m currently a fellow of the Singapore Government’s Centre for Strategic Futures, and a research fellow at the Future of Life Foundation’s programme on AI for human reasoning, at the Ethereum Foundation’s protocols research programme, and at MOD./University of South Australia.

Here’s what I’m doing now-ish.


Contact

For speaking enquiries, contact Deborah Rey-Burns at Propela.

For consulting enquiries, research, and other collaborations, email .

I write a biweekly newsletter called the Uncertainty Mindset — it’s free and easy to un/subscribe.

To chat, find me on Farcaster @vt, Bluesky @vaughn.bsky.social, Twitter @vaughn_tan, or LinkedIn.